Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 3
POR
35%
24%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
GLE
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
GLE
1 - 4
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 0
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 0
POR
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 3
INS
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |