Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
DON
0 - 1
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
POR
5 - 1
LAR
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 1
POR
25%
25%
49%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CLI
2 - 0
INS
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
INS
3 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
INS
2 - 3
GLE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |