Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
GLE
5 - 1
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
POR
4 - 0
GLE
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 3
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
LIN
51%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DUN
0 - 1
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LIM
3 - 3
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CLI
2 - 0
INS
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
INS
0 - 1
COL
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
GLE
0 - 0
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |