Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
GLE
0 - 2
POR
22%
22%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
LAR
2 - 3
POR
24%
23%
54%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
GLE
3 - 4
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 6
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
LOU
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
BMF
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
LIM
5 - 1
INS
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
INS
0 - 1
OMA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
INS
1 - 3
LIS
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
LOU
0 - 1
INS
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |