Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 2-1
Portadown vs Skonto Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
33%
23%
44%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 0
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
CRU
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
FCD
0 - 4
FCS
18%
22%
59%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCS
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 0
FKD
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
FCS
0 - 0
LIE
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
FCT
0 - 2
FCS
13%
20%
67%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |