Portadown vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 4
POR
22%
22%
56%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
DUN
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
COL
3 - 3
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
INS
77%
15%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 2
CRU
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 2
CRU
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |