Portadown vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 2
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 3
POR
22%
23%
56%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ARC
2 - 2
CRU
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 2
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 0
DON
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 0
LIM
62%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |