Port Vale vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
POR
1 - 0
HAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1993 |
HUR
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
BRO
2 - 0
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
POR
2 - 2
CAM
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
LIN
0 - 0
POR
47%
24%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1993 |
WRE
3 - 3
NTT
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
EXE
5 - 0
WRE
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1993 |
WRE
3 - 0
HUL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
WRE
3 - 2
REA
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
STO
1 - 0
WRE
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |