Port Vale vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
BRE
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WYC
1 - 1
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
NOR
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 2
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
ALD
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
3 - 1
TRA
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CRE
2 - 0
WAL
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
BCF
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SCU
1 - 1
WAL
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
SHE
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |