Port Vale vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
SOU
1 - 3
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
POR
3 - 0
NOT
65%
19%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
POR
2 - 2
WOL
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1928 |
BAR
4 - 2
POR
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
BBU
2 - 1
POR
73%
14%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
STO
2 - 2
WOL
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1928 |
GRI
1 - 2
STO
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
ARS
4 - 1
STO
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
LEY
3 - 2
STO
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1928 |
STO
1 - 0
CHL
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |