Port Vale vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
3 - 1
POR
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
OXF
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SHE
4 - 0
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
0 - 1
POR
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
STE
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
STE
1 - 2
CUM
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
STE
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STE
1 - 2
PLY
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
STE
2 - 2
BHA
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |