Port Vale vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1931 |
SWA
2 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
POR
2 - 1
PLY
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
BCF
0 - 3
POR
68%
17%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1931 |
POR
1 - 3
EVE
34%
23%
43%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1931 |
CAR
2 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1931 |
BRA
1 - 3
REA
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
REA
3 - 0
WOL
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
REA
1 - 0
SWA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1931 |
SOU
3 - 2
REA
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1931 |
REA
3 - 1
BUR
27%
22%
51%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |