Port Vale vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1927 |
BPO
1 - 6
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
POR
1 - 1
CHL
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
GRI
3 - 0
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
POR
1 - 0
OLD
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
STO
0 - 2
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1927 |
REA
2 - 1
WOL
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
BAR
2 - 0
REA
75%
14%
11%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
REA
5 - 1
SOU
66%
18%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
LEE
6 - 2
REA
84%
10%
6%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
REA
3 - 0
HUL
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |