Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1934 |
POR
4 - 1
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
BAR
2 - 0
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1934 |
SOU
0 - 0
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1934 |
POR
2 - 0
SHE
32%
21%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 May. 1934 |
POR
3 - 1
NTT
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
PLY
2 - 2
BRA
48%
22%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1934 |
PLY
6 - 4
HUL
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1934 |
FUL
3 - 0
PLY
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1934 |
SWA
2 - 1
PLY
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 1934 |
PLY
1 - 0
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |