Port Vale vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FLE
1 - 2
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 0
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
MIL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
WIG
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
CUM
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OLD
1 - 1
WIG
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DON
1 - 1
OLD
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OLD
1 - 5
POS
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
OLD
1 - 2
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
STF
2 - 0
OLD
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |