Port Vale vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CHE
3 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LEY
2 - 1
POR
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BHA
0 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BPO
2 - 1
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 2
MIL
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 1
OLD
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 0
TRA
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 3
OLD
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
OLD
0 - 3
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |