Port Vale vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
PNE
0 - 0
POR
64%
17%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
56%
20%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
MIL
0 - 3
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
POR
1 - 0
SWA
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
NOT
3 - 2
POR
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
OLD
4 - 3
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
BPO
0 - 0
OLD
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
OLD
1 - 4
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
BOL
1 - 0
OLD
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
OLD
2 - 0
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |