Port Vale vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
POR
2 - 1
REA
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1931 |
SWA
2 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
POR
2 - 1
PLY
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
BCF
0 - 3
POR
68%
17%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1931 |
POR
1 - 3
EVE
34%
23%
43%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
OLD
1 - 3
BRI
73%
16%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
CAR
0 - 0
OLD
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1931 |
OLD
2 - 0
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
TOT
4 - 0
OLD
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
OLD
3 - 1
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |