Port Vale vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
COV
0 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1925 |
STO
0 - 2
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
POR
2 - 1
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
SOU
3 - 0
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1925 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
OLD
1 - 3
BRA
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
SOU
0 - 0
OLD
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
OLD
5 - 0
COV
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
STO
0 - 1
OLD
45%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
MUD
0 - 1
OLD
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |