Port Vale vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
POR
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
AFC
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
STA
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 2
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
ALD
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 3
EXE
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
YOR
1 - 4
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DAG
1 - 2
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHE
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |