Port Vale vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
POR
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
ROT
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
STF
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
AFC
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
PNE
26%
23%
50%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 1
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 3
BRO
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |