Port Vale vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
STE
1 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
STO
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 0
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
MOR
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
BUR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |