Port Vale vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
WIG
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
CUM
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
50%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
WBA
0 - 0
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
DON
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 3
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
POS
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 2
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SCU
0 - 0
MIL
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |