Port Vale vs Middlesbrough U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
POR
2 - 6
LIN
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
BUR
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GRI
2 - 0
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
MKD
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
EXE
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 1
MID
76%
15%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BPO
4 - 1
MID
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
WIG
4 - 1
MID
85%
12%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
STA
3 - 2
MID
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
MID
0 - 3
STF
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |