Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
WIG
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
POR
3 - 3
STE
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
EXE
0 - 1
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 2
MID
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
MID
1 - 2
HUL
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MID
0 - 2
IPS
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LEE
3 - 2
MID
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
MID
4 - 0
PNE
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |