Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
24.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
NEW
2 - 2
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
POR
2 - 2
WHU
29%
30%
42%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1989 |
WOL
2 - 0
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
BAR
0 - 3
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
POR
2 - 1
LEI
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
MID
0 - 0
WBA
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
MID
1 - 1
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
OLD
2 - 0
MID
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1989 |
MID
2 - 2
BHA
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
MID
0 - 2
PLY
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |