Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
POR
2 - 3
LEI
35%
24%
42%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
LIV
4 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
BRI
0 - 0
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
STO
1 - 1
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
MID
5 - 1
HUL
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1956 |
MID
4 - 2
LIN
57%
21%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
BBU
2 - 1
MID
66%
17%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
MID
0 - 1
BRO
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1956 |
ROT
2 - 1
MID
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |