Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1954 |
NTT
2 - 3
POR
73%
15%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1954 |
BCF
2 - 2
POR
70%
17%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1954 |
POR
0 - 1
LEE
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1954 |
POR
3 - 3
IPS
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
HUL
2 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1954 |
MID
4 - 2
FUL
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1954 |
BBU
9 - 0
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1954 |
MID
6 - 0
WHU
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1954 |
DER
1 - 2
MID
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
65%
19%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |