Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
GRI
4 - 4
POR
42%
24%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
POR
7 - 1
FUL
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1927 |
POR
2 - 0
PNE
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
OLD
1 - 3
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
POR
2 - 3
OPA
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
FUL
0 - 3
MID
22%
23%
56%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
MID
3 - 1
OLD
81%
13%
7%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
OPA
0 - 1
MID
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
MID
4 - 1
DAR
92%
5%
2%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1927 |
MID
5 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |