Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
PNE
4 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
POR
4 - 3
SHW
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
SWA
1 - 0
POR
65%
19%
17%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
POR
2 - 0
STO
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
OLD
3 - 2
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
MID
5 - 0
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
SOU
3 - 1
MID
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
MID
1 - 0
NTT
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
HUL
1 - 2
MID
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
MID
3 - 2
DAR
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |