Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
NEW
2 - 0
POR
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1899 |
WAL
0 - 1
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1899 |
POR
2 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1899 |
POR
1 - 0
LUT
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1899 |
POR
0 - 1
WAL
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
LIN
3 - 0
MID
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1899 |
MID
0 - 0
LUT
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1899 |
LEI
4 - 1
MID
53%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1899 |
MID
3 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1895 |
SHW
6 - 1
MID
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -2 |