Port Vale vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 2
POR
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 3
ROC
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 2
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STE
1 - 1
POR
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 3
TOW
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
TOW
3 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TOW
1 - 1
EXE
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
LEY
0 - 2
TOW
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |