Port Vale vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1898 |
POR
0 - 2
LEI
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1898 |
LUT
0 - 1
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1898 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
26%
22%
51%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1898 |
POR
0 - 0
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1898 |
MUD
2 - 1
POR
65%
19%
17%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1898 |
WAL
6 - 1
GAI
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1898 |
GAI
2 - 4
GLO
36%
25%
40%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1898 |
GAI
1 - 2
BUR
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1898 |
BAR
1 - 0
GAI
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1898 |
GAI
2 - 2
DAR
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |