Port Vale vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
WHU
5 - 0
POR
72%
16%
13%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
POR
3 - 2
LIN
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
BCF
0 - 0
POR
69%
16%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1932 |
POR
2 - 1
CHA
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
POR
4 - 2
GRI
33%
21%
46%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
FUL
3 - 4
NOT
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
SWA
3 - 0
FUL
54%
22%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1933 |
CHE
3 - 2
FUL
53%
23%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
FUL
1 - 0
BRA
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1932 |
WHU
1 - 1
FUL
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |