Port Vale vs Darwen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1899 |
LEI
1 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1899 |
POR
4 - 1
LUT
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1899 |
ARS
1 - 0
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1899 |
GRI
3 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1899 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1899 |
DAR
0 - 2
BUR
25%
22%
54%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1899 |
GLO
5 - 0
DAR
70%
16%
13%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1899 |
WAL
10 - 0
DAR
77%
14%
10%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1899 |
DAR
0 - 2
GLO
27%
23%
51%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1899 |
MAC
10 - 0
DAR
77%
14%
10%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | -1 |