FA Cup 1/128
Global 5-1
Port Vale vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 0
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 1
POR
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 0
POR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 0
POR
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 4
DOR
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
DOV
0 - 2
DAR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 1
POR
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LEW
1 - 1
DAR
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 0
DAR
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |