Port Vale vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
WAL
4 - 3
POR
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
WOL
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 6
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 0
CHE
20%
26%
54%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SCU
2 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CRA
4 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAL
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |