Port Vale vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1900 |
GRI
1 - 1
POR
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1900 |
BOL
5 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1899 |
POR
3 - 0
BIR
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1899 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1900 |
ARS
3 - 1
LUT
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
LEI
0 - 0
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1899 |
LIN
5 - 0
ARS
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1899 |
ARS
1 - 1
BUR
71%
16%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1899 |
NEW
0 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |