Port Vale vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1895 |
CRE
2 - 2
POR
30%
23%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1895 |
MUD
3 - 0
POR
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1894 |
ARS
7 - 0
POR
69%
17%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1894 |
POR
2 - 5
MUD
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1894 |
LIN
6 - 1
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1895 |
ARS
3 - 2
NEW
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1895 |
LEI
3 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1895 |
DAR
3 - 1
ARS
61%
19%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1894 |
GRI
4 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1894 |
ARS
7 - 0
POR
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |