Carabao Cup 1/32
Global 1-5
Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
WAT
1 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
POR
1 - 1
HUL
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
POR
0 - 0
BBU
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
BHA
2 - 0
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1989 |
POR
1 - 0
WAL
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
AFC
0 - 1
QPR
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
QPR
0 - 0
AFC
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1988 |
AFC
2 - 1
MUD
17%
25%
58%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
AFC
0 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1988 |
BAR
0 - 2
AFC
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |