Port Vale vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NOT
3 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
SCU
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
BCF
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 1
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
BOU
19%
25%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 2
BOU
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BOU
3 - 1
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GUL
1 - 2
BOU
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |