Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 3
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 4
HUR
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
CRA
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
BRA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
STA
1 - 2
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
SCU
45%
23%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 0
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
STE
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |