Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
SHE
3 - 1
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 3
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
NOR
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SWI
6 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
WOL
3 - 2
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
STA
0 - 1
ALD
23%
24%
54%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
BCF
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
WRE
1 - 3
STA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |