Port Talbot Town vs Swansea University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
CAM
25%
23%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
5 - 0
POR
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
LLA
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
CWU
2 - 2
POR
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SUF
1 - 1
HAV
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 2
SUF
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
SUF
3 - 0
GOY
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PON
1 - 1
SUF
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
HAV
0 - 1
SUF
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |