Port Talbot Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 1
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
HAV
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ABE
0 - 2
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TNS
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
RHY
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
CEF
1 - 2
BAL
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 1
CEF
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |