Port Talbot Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
LID
2 - 2
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
AIR
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
LID
0 - 0
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |