Port Melbourne Sharks vs Pascoe Vale SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
HUM
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
AVH
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 1
POR
60%
19%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 2
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
HEU
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
PAS
2 - 3
HEU
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
PAS
2 - 2
SOU
28%
23%
50%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAS
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 3
PAS
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAS
4 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |