Belize Playoffs - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Port Layola vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
PLA
4 - 0
PRO
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 6
PLA
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
WAG
0 - 4
PLA
16%
18%
65%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPP
1 - 0
PLA
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
3 - 2
HAN
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
PLA
4 - 0
PRO
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 0
WAG
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 0
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
PRO
21%
20%
58%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
SPP
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |