Port Layola vs Progresso analysis


32	ELO	32
-3.5%	Tilt	-6.1%
48889º	General ELO ranking	48890º
36º	Country ELO ranking	37º
ELO win probability

53.2%

Port Layola

21.2%

Draw

25.6%

Progresso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

53.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%

21.2%

Draw

0-0

3.2%

1-1

9.1%

2-2

6.5%

3-3

2.1%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

21.2%

25.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+31%

-48%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

28

1º

3º

23

3º

7º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	27	30	1º	53%
3º	26	29	2º	27.5%
1º	28	28	3º	27.5%
4º	23	23	4º	100%
5º	22	22	5º	100%
6º	21	21	6º	100%
7º	6	6	7º	100%
8º	2	2	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	100%	100%
Mid-table	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Layola

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Feb. 2023	SPP 0 - 1 PLA 51% 22% 27%	30	32	2	0
12 Feb. 2023	PLA 1 - 1 ALT 48% 22% 30%	30	32	2	0
05 Feb. 2023	BDC 1 - 1 PLA 46% 22% 32%	30	30	0	0
29 Jan. 2023	HAN 3 - 0 PLA 49% 22% 29%	31	32	1	-1
22 Jan. 2023	PLA 2 - 0 BEL 65% 18% 17%	31	26	5	0

Matches

Progresso

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Feb. 2023	PRO 2 - 2 HAN 50% 22% 28%	31	31	0	0
12 Feb. 2023	PRO 2 - 0 WAG 72% 16% 13%	31	22	9	0
05 Feb. 2023	BEL 0 - 0 PRO 32% 22% 46%	31	23	8	0
29 Jan. 2023	BDC 0 - 2 PRO 53% 22% 26%	29	31	2	+2
22 Jan. 2023	PRO 0 - 0 ALT 46% 22% 31%	29	31	2	0