Port Adelaide Lion vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Adelaide Lion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
ADE
5 - 2
PAL
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 4
NEM
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 4
PAL
24%
22%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 4
WAD
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 2
PAL
19%
21%
61%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
NEM
2 - 0
MOD
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAR
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
WAD
7 - 1
MOD
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
SAP
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WHI
0 - 2
MOD
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |